Indy Eleven vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
JAC
0 - 0
IND
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
EDM
2 - 1
IND
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
NYC
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
MIA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
RAY
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
NYC
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
EDM
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |