Asian Cup Group D Round 3

Indonesia vs South Korea analysis

Indonesia South Korea
65 ELO 90
9.8% Tilt 11.9%
2846º General ELO ranking 99º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
7%
Indonesia
15.4%
Draw
77.5%
South Korea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
Indonesia
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
77.5%
Win probability
South Korea
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Indonesia
+23%
-1%
South Korea

ELO progression

Indonesia
South Korea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Indonesia
Indonesia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
1 - 2
Saudi Arabia
KSA
14%
22%
64%
65 86 21 0
10 Jul. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
2 - 1
Bahrain
BHR
26%
24%
49%
64 77 13 +1
30 Jun. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
2 - 1
Serbia
SRB
23%
26%
51%
63 83 20 +1
24 Jun. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
0 - 1
Oman
OMA
24%
24%
53%
64 81 17 -1
21 Jun. 2007
IDN
Indonesia
2 - 1
Jamaica
JAM
24%
27%
50%
63 82 19 +1

Matches

South Korea
South Korea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2007
BHR
Bahrain
2 - 1
South Korea
KOR
9%
18%
73%
90 76 14 0
11 Jul. 2007
KOR
South Korea
1 - 1
Saudi Arabia
KSA
62%
22%
16%
90 86 4 0
05 Jul. 2007
KOR
South Korea
2 - 1
Uzbekistan
UZB
66%
21%
13%
90 79 11 0
29 Jun. 2007
KOR
South Korea
3 - 0
Iraq
IRQ
60%
24%
17%
90 84 6 0
02 Jun. 2007
KOR
South Korea
0 - 2
Netherlands
NED
15%
23%
62%
90 97 7 0