India vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
LKA
1 - 0
IND
47%
22%
31%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
BGD
2 - 4
IND
55%
21%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
LKA
2 - 2
IND
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
IND
1 - 1
IRQ
7%
18%
75%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
IND
0 - 5
THA
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
BGD
1 - 0
LKA
63%
20%
18%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
MMR
2 - 0
LKA
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
LKA
1 - 0
IND
47%
22%
31%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
LKA
2 - 1
NPL
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
LKA
2 - 2
IND
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |