Independiente vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
ATT
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
IND
2 - 0
CCS
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 1
IND
45%
29%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
GLP
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
SAR
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
DYJ
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
SAR
45%
28%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
PLA
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
SAR
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |