Independiente vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
HUR
1 - 0
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
IND
3 - 1
GOI
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
GOI
2 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
IND
1 - 2
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
SLO
2 - 1
BAN
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
SLO
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SLO
0 - 0
NOB
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ARS
2 - 1
SLO
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SLO
0 - 0
RIV
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |