Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GLP
1 - 2
IND
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
VEL
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
COL
51%
26%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CCS
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
BOC
40%
29%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 1
EST
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
COR
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 3
CAU
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
COR
1 - 0
EST
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |