Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
PLA
2 - 2
IND
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
FLA
1 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
IND
1 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
IND
2 - 0
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
HUR
1 - 0
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
VEL
2 - 0
BEL
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SLO
0 - 2
VEL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
VEL
2 - 0
ARG
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
COL
1 - 2
VEL
25%
29%
46%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
VEL
2 - 0
GLP
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |