Independiente vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 2
IND
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
DYJ
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GOD
2 - 2
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
IND
43%
27%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
CEN
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 1
ARS
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
GOD
4 - 3
TIG
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 0
GLP
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SLO
0 - 2
TIG
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 1
DYJ
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |