Independiente vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1967 |
CHA
0 - 0
IND
31%
29%
41%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1967 |
IND
3 - 1
BAN
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
SLO
0 - 0
IND
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
IND
4 - 0
GLP
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
CAU
1 - 1
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1967 |
RAC
3 - 1
RIV
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1967 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOC
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1967 |
RIV
1 - 1
COL
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1967 |
RIV
4 - 1
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1967 |
UNI
2 - 2
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |