Independiente vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CCS
1 - 0
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
ARS
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
CAU
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
SAR
58%
24%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 0
SAR
68%
21%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
ALD
0 - 3
BOC
22%
27%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 0
ARG
49%
28%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BOC
0 - 1
GLP
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOC
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |