Independiente vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
VEL
2 - 3
IND
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
NOB
0 - 3
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
IND
2 - 2
GLP
69%
16%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
IND
0 - 0
RIV
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
HUR
3 - 3
IND
39%
24%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BAN
2 - 0
NOB
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
GLP
3 - 2
BAN
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
BAN
1 - 1
TIG
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BAN
2 - 1
HUR
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
FER
3 - 0
BAN
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |