Independiente Villa Obrera vs Sportivo del Bono analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
IND
4 - 1
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
IND
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ATE
2 - 1
IND
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
IND
74%
16%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
TRI
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo del Bono
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 1
SPO
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
TRI
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
DES
16%
24%
60%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATL
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 1
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |