Indep. Rivadavia vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
IRV
2 - 2
ALB
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
IRV
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
IRV
2 - 1
INS
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 1
IRV
37%
30%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 2
SUA
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 2
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 0
GIM
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 2
RAF
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
RAF
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |