Independiente II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
IND
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 2
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
SLO
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 2
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
TAL
36%
26%
39%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
PLA
48%
26%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
GOC
0 - 0
SAR
31%
26%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
NOB
34%
26%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
6 - 0
SAR
53%
25%
22%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |