Independiente II vs San Martín San Juan II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+143%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
LAN
2 - 2
IND
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
IND
1 - 2
GOC
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
IND
2 - 3
RAC
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
SLO
1 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
IND
1 - 0
ACC
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
SMS
2 - 0
SLO
14%
19%
68%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
ACC
2 - 0
SMS
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SMS
1 - 1
PLA
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 0
SMS
83%
12%
6%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
SMS
1 - 3
RIV
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |