Independiente Petrolero vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
14º
10º
43
1º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 50 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 32 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 26 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 24 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 23 |
15º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 6% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana qualifying phase
|
10% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BLO
3 - 1
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IND
0 - 0
REO
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
IND
0 - 2
DGV
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
JWI
0 - 1
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
JWI
3 - 2
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
STR
3 - 2
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DGV
0 - 4
STR
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
STR
2 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
BLO
3 - 1
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
BAH
3 - 0
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |