Independiente Medellín vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
IND
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
JUN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
4 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 2
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
EQU
2 - 0
HUI
53%
27%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
JUN
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
EQU
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EQU
1 - 2
AME
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
EQU
62%
22%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |