Independiente Medellín vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 0
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 4
ONC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
CUC
1 - 2
IND
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 2
HUI
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
JUN
4 - 3
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 2
CUC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
ENV
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 1
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PER
4 - 0
ENV
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 0
QUI
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |