CONCACAF Champions Cup 1/16
Global 0-4
Independiente Chorrera vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
IND
1 - 2
UME
74%
17%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
SFF
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 2
IND
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
5 - 2
NER
53%
22%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
NER
0 - 0
PHU
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NER
1 - 3
ORL
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
CIN
37%
24%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NER
0 - 3
RBN
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |