Independiente Chorrera vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
33.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 1
IND
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 0
IND
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TAU
3 - 0
IND
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
SMI
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 1
AFC
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 0
IND
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
CHE
60%
25%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 1
AFC
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |