Independiente Chorrera vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
IND
0 - 0
ANT
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
SMI
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
AMA
0 - 0
IND
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
3 - 2
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
SFF
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
AMA
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COS
1 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |