Independiente Cauquenes vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
DSC
4 - 1
CAU
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAU
5 - 0
TRA
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
4 - 2
CAU
59%
21%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 5
BAR
48%
23%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHG
6 - 2
CAU
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NTA
3 - 3
LOT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CDM
4 - 1
NTA
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NTA
5 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAU
2 - 1
NTA
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NTA
1 - 0
DSC
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |