Independente SP vs Sao Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SJS
2 - 2
IND
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
FRA
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SEP
0 - 1
SVA
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
TAU
20%
22%
57%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
SVA
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 1
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
3 - 1
SER
16%
21%
62%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +6 |