Incresa vs La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LPC
5 - 2
INC
59%
20%
21%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
INC
1 - 1
PAP
34%
23%
43%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
INC
0 - 6
OMO
14%
19%
67%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SMO
4 - 0
INC
67%
18%
15%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
INC
1 - 4
VAL
16%
19%
65%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LGU
3 - 2
PAL
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CCO
3 - 1
LGU
35%
23%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LGU
4 - 2
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LGU
4 - 1
LPC
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAP
3 - 4
LGU
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |