Incomáti vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 3
IDX
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
IDX
1 - 1
MAX
44%
30%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
BDP
2 - 0
IDX
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
IDX
0 - 0
FER
39%
30%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TEX
1 - 0
IDX
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 0
TEX
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
0 - 1
LIG
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
MAX
0 - 1
FEN
47%
29%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 0
BDP
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
FEN
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |