Incheon United vs Suwon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
10º
6º
31
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 2
INC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
JEO
2 - 0
INC
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
INC
0 - 0
DAE
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GWA
5 - 0
INC
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
INC
1 - 0
JEJ
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Suwon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SUW
1 - 0
JEO
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
ELA
2 - 1
SUW
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SUW
5 - 3
DCI
49%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GWA
2 - 0
SUW
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ULS
3 - 0
SUW
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |