Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
GWA
3 - 2
INC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
INC
0 - 0
JEO
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2006 |
INC
2 - 3
GYE
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
BUS
0 - 0
INC
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
INC
1 - 2
CDR
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
DCI
2 - 2
ULS
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2006 |
JEO
0 - 2
DCI
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
DCI
0 - 0
SEO
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
POH
2 - 2
DCI
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
DAE
0 - 0
DCI
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |