Imereti vs Samegrelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imereti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BET
1 - 2
IME
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
IME
2 - 1
SKU
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 0
IME
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
IME
1 - 0
CHK
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
GAG
3 - 1
IME
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 3
LIA
17%
23%
61%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALG
32%
27%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
WIT
3 - 0
SAM
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
LAZ
15%
20%
66%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |