Imbabura vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 3
IMB
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
IMB
2 - 2
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 3
IMB
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
IMB
2 - 0
LDU
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 4
IMB
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
4 - 1
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
MAC
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
CLA
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
TEC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |