Imbabura vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
IMB
0 - 0
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BSC
1 - 2
IMB
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
IMB
0 - 2
OLM
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
CUE
4 - 0
IMB
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
IMB
1 - 6
LDU
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 0
OLM
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
CUE
2 - 1
MAC
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 2
LDU
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MAC
3 - 1
EME
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |