Imbabura vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AUD
1 - 0
IMB
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
IMB
3 - 1
LOJ
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 1
IMB
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
IMB
0 - 0
ROC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 1
IMB
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 1
AUC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DPT
4 - 0
AUC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
DPT
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |