Europa Conference League qualifiers Second Round Final

Global 5-5

Ilves vs Austria Wien analysis

Ilves Austria Wien
75 ELO 80
7.5% Tilt 2.2%
866º General ELO ranking 566º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32%
Ilves
23.8%
Draw
44.2%
Austria Wien

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
Ilves
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.2%
Win probability
Austria Wien
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Ilves
Austria Wien
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ilves
Ilves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2024
ILV
Ilves
3 - 2
VPS Vaasa
VAA
43%
25%
32%
74 74 0 0
15 Jul. 2024
HAK
FC Haka
4 - 3
Ilves
ILV
42%
27%
31%
74 73 1 0
06 Jul. 2024
ILV
Ilves
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki
HJK
37%
26%
37%
73 77 4 +1
29 Jun. 2024
FCL
FC Lahti
2 - 2
Ilves
ILV
23%
26%
51%
73 59 14 0
19 Jun. 2024
ILV
Ilves
2 - 2
SJK
SEI
48%
25%
27%
73 72 1 0

Matches

Austria Wien
Austria Wien
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2024
AUS
Austria Wien
1 - 3
Porto
FCP
23%
24%
53%
81 89 8 0
13 Jul. 2024
AUS
Austria Wien
1 - 0
FC Zlín
ZLI
68%
19%
13%
81 69 12 0
10 Jul. 2024
AUS
Austria Wien
3 - 7
Bohemians 1905
BOH
55%
22%
23%
81 75 6 0
06 Jul. 2024
AUS
Austria Wien
1 - 3
Paksi FC
PAK
42%
23%
35%
81 78 3 0
03 Jul. 2024
SSG
Sepsi
1 - 3
Austria Wien
AUS
36%
24%
40%
81 77 4 0