Ilves II vs FC Jazz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
9º
45
1º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
GRI
2 - 1
ILV
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ILV
3 - 1
TAM
54%
20%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
INT
3 - 0
ILV
27%
20%
53%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
HOA
3 - 1
ILV
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KER
2 - 2
ILV
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Jazz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
FCJ
4 - 1
HJS
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
FCJ
3 - 1
EPF
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HJS
2 - 2
FCJ
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCJ
4 - 2
IKI
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
6 - 1
FCJ
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |