Illzach Modenheim vs Colmar II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
JAR
2 - 3
ILL
27%
23%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
ILL
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
3 - 0
LUN
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
RCE
4 - 1
ILL
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 0
DIJ
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Colmar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
STP
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LUN
1 - 1
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
COL
3 - 2
RCE
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
DIJ
2 - 0
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
TRO
26%
24%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |