Illueca vs Caspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
SAR
3 - 1
ICF
45%
28%
28%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
ICF
2 - 0
LAA
81%
14%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
HER
0 - 1
ICF
45%
28%
28%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
ICF
5 - 1
CDM
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
EJE
2 - 1
ICF
46%
27%
28%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
CAS
0 - 7
ACF
56%
24%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
ALC
0 - 3
CAS
52%
26%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
CAS
3 - 1
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
SAB
1 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
CAS
1 - 1
BIN
21%
26%
53%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |