FC Mariupol vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 3
ILL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
INH
3 - 0
ILL
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
3 - 4
ZOR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
2 - 3
CHO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SKD
2 - 1
ILL
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SHF
2 - 0
SHA
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 0
SKD
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 1
SHA
11%
20%
69%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 2
MON
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 3
SHA
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |