Illichivets II vs Kremin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
66.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illichivets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NIK
2 - 1
ILL
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
4 - 1
MZZ
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
ILL
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
4 - 0
SMY
45%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ENK
3 - 0
ILL
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kremin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KRE
1 - 0
ENK
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
RPH
0 - 1
KRE
26%
25%
48%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
KRE
1 - 0
TIF
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
ABT
2 - 6
KRE
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
KRE
3 - 2
IHP
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |