CD Illescas vs CD Quintanar del Rey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
48
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TAR
1 - 1
ILL
30%
24%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 0
ATT
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 0
CDC
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ILL
5 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 0
ILL
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
CD Quintanar del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
QRE
0 - 0
CDC
54%
26%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
QRE
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
QRE
3 - 1
CDT
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UBC
0 - 0
QRE
26%
25%
50%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 3
QRE
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |