CD Illescas vs Atlético Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
26
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 0
CDC
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ILL
5 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 0
ILL
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 0
UBC
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LSO
0 - 4
ILL
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 2
VIL
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
ATT
78%
16%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
ATT
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ATT
0 - 1
MAR
14%
21%
66%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ATT
0 - 2
VIL
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |