CD Illescas vs UD Almansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 2
ILL
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 2
CIU
51%
27%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
ILL
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 0
GAL
42%
27%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
ILL
53%
24%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Almansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 0
CRI
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 0
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CIU
0 - 2
ALM
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALM
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |