Illertissen vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NUR
3 - 3
ILL
30%
24%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
5 - 2
ILL
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 3
SCH
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 1
ILL
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ILL
2 - 2
BAY
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 1
ING
56%
22%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
AUG
0 - 3
WUR
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
WUR
0 - 2
186
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
WUR
3 - 2
F95
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
1 - 2
WUR
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |