Regionalliga Bayern Round 4

Illertissen vs Schweinfurt analysis

Illertissen Schweinfurt
47 ELO 44
8.8% Tilt 0.7%
2300º General ELO ranking 1943º
102º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
49.2%
Illertissen
23.6%
Draw
27.2%
Schweinfurt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
Illertissen
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.2%
Win probability
Schweinfurt
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Illertissen
-19%
-13%
Schweinfurt

ELO progression

Illertissen
Schweinfurt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Illertissen
Illertissen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2016
SCH
Schalding-Heining
0 - 0
Illertissen
ILL
41%
25%
34%
46 44 2 0
22 Jul. 2016
ILL
Illertissen
2 - 3
FC Augsburg II
AUG
52%
23%
25%
46 45 1 0
17 Jul. 2016
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
50%
25%
25%
47 50 3 -1
13 Jul. 2016
ILL
Illertissen
0 - 3
FC Augsburg
AUG
9%
17%
74%
48 82 34 -1
21 May. 2016
ILL
Illertissen
1 - 4
Schalding-Heining
SCH
67%
19%
14%
49 41 8 -1

Matches

Schweinfurt
Schweinfurt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2016
SCH
Schweinfurt
1 - 2
Nürnberg II
NUR
41%
25%
34%
46 51 5 0
23 Jul. 2016
SCH
Schweinfurt
4 - 3
Bayern Hof
BAY
56%
22%
22%
46 45 1 0
14 Jul. 2016
SCH
Schalding-Heining
1 - 1
Schweinfurt
SCH
40%
25%
35%
46 44 2 0
08 Jul. 2016
SCH
Schweinfurt
2 - 5
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
21%
23%
56%
46 61 15 0
05 Jul. 2016
SCH
Schweinfurt
2 - 3
Zwickau
ZWI
27%
26%
47%
46 58 12 0