Illertissen vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
STU
0 - 0
ILL
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
ILL
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ILL
1 - 0
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASV
2 - 2
ILL
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
ILL
0 - 1
WAL
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
REU
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
3 - 1
STU
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
KEH
0 - 1
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
4 - 1
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |