Illertissen vs ASV Durlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 1
ILL
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ILL
0 - 0
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
HOL
2 - 0
ILL
20%
23%
58%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ILL
3 - 3
FRE
55%
22%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NEC
3 - 4
ILL
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Durlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
ASV
1 - 2
REU
19%
23%
59%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
WEI
2 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STU
4 - 1
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ASV
2 - 2
KEH
49%
24%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |