Illertissen vs ASV Durlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ILL
5 - 0
OFF
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 3
ILL
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 2
ILL
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 4
STU
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AUI
1 - 1
ILL
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Durlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
AST
4 - 0
ASV
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ASV
3 - 0
AUI
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 1
ASV
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 1
VFR
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
KIR
3 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |