Regionalliga Bayern Round 33

Illertissen vs 1860 München II analysis

Illertissen 1860 München II
46 ELO 49
-5.4% Tilt 6.6%
2277º General ELO ranking 4200º
99º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
37.1%
Illertissen
25.5%
Draw
37.4%
1860 München II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
Illertissen
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1860 München II
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Illertissen
-11%
+33%
1860 München II

ELO progression

Illertissen
1860 München II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Illertissen
Illertissen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2013
BUC
Buchbach
3 - 4
Illertissen
ILL
51%
23%
27%
46 46 0 0
14 Apr. 2013
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
42%
26%
33%
46 46 0 0
06 Apr. 2013
ILL
Illertissen
4 - 1
Heimstetten
HEI
49%
24%
27%
45 42 3 +1
02 Apr. 2013
ILL
Illertissen
3 - 2
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
56%
22%
22%
45 36 9 0
30 Mar. 2013
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
0 - 0
Illertissen
ILL
29%
24%
47%
45 34 11 0

Matches

1860 München II
1860 München II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2013
186
1860 München II
1 - 2
Heimstetten
HEI
58%
22%
20%
50 42 8 0
09 Apr. 2013
186
1860 München II
3 - 0
Eltersdorf
ELT
69%
19%
12%
49 35 14 +1
06 Apr. 2013
BAY
Bayern Hof
1 - 4
1860 München II
186
26%
25%
49%
48 39 9 +1
30 Mar. 2013
186
1860 München II
0 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
63%
21%
17%
49 40 9 -1
23 Mar. 2013
WUR
Würzburger Kickers
0 - 2
1860 München II
186
33%
25%
43%
48 37 11 +1