Ilkeston Town FC vs Nantwich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
ILK
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BLY
3 - 2
ILK
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ILK
1 - 0
FRI
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STO
2 - 3
ILK
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
ILK
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nantwich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DRO
0 - 3
NAN
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 1
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BUX
2 - 0
NAN
58%
22%
21%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 1
UNM
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BLY
2 - 2
NAN
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |