Ilkeston Town FC vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
ILK
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 1
ILK
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WAR
4 - 1
ILK
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASI
0 - 6
ILK
14%
18%
67%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
ILK
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
ASH
1 - 3
BUX
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
BUX
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUX
0 - 0
BAR
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BIT
3 - 0
BUX
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -4 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WIT
3 - 0
BUX
46%
24%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |