Ilkeston Town FC vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 3
ILK
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ILK
1 - 1
WIT
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 4
ILK
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ILK
2 - 1
NAN
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ILK
1 - 0
MAT
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
HAL
4 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 3
KIN
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 0
BAR
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
BUX
50%
25%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |