Iliturgi 2016 vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BEG
1 - 0
ICF
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ICF
2 - 3
NAV
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 1
ICF
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ICF
2 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JOD
2 - 0
ICF
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 1
POL
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
POL
1 - 0
MEL
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALH
1 - 0
POL
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
EST
3 - 2
POL
36%
26%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |